Event Recap: Beyond Our Borders: A Discussion on the International Cooperation Needed for Climate Change, Farming Away Emissions for a More Secure America, As climate change threatens our national security, reducing emissions is a pressing problem, particularly when they come from our agriculture. Climate change will be the defining test of global civilization in the twenty-first century. Climate change ranks among the most pressing and consequential security threats of our time. Dr. David Titley, professor @penn_state: For decades, there have been incentives in academia to try & overturn any notion that climate change is happening, but the more and more we research, what we understand is: we are warming due to greenhouse gasses #intelsummit20 pic.twitter.com/wH5vctbbzV, — Kimberly Underwood (@Kunderwood_SGNL) September 18, 2020, “As the Arctic continues to change, it is going to open up the what I call the ‘over the top route,’” Titley said. In another sign that the Department of Defense (DoD) is prioritizing climate security risks, the annual Inspector General (IG) summary of the Department’s top management challenges explicitly discusses climate change and extreme weather events. And while the Air Force released in July its first-ever Arctic strategy to expand the presence needed to deter missile and other threats in the high north, “we need to have more ability to operate at the surface,” she said. The content of this field is kept private and will not be shown publicly. The twenty-fourth meeting of the Conference of Parties (COP24) to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) meets in Katowice in Poland from 02 to 14 December. Already, near-peer adversaries, including China and Russia, are capitalizing on climate change, experts say. China’s leadership faces a difficult quandary: how to balance economic growth and reductions in carbon emissions. Climate change poses security risks, according to decades of intelligence reports: Intelligence analysts have agreed since the late 80s that climate change poses serious security risks. Two new climate change assessments—the 2018 Fourth National Climate Assessment (“NCA”) and the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s Special Report on Climate Change— prominently highlight climate change’s multifaceted national security risks. No region of the world will be left unaffected. ), The Year that Was with BGen Steve Cheney, USMC (Ret. To avoid a 1.5° C increase in global temperatures, China must reduce emissions. “I think if you look at China's behavior through a climate change lens, a lot more of their activities make more sense,” he stated. At the top of the list is the immense strain that responding to climatological events puts on the Pentagon’s resources. Climate change poses “immediate risks” to national security and will have broad and costly impacts on the way the US military carries out its missions, the Pentagon said in a new report on the impact of climate change released on 13 October.. This observation is particularly salient within the United States. with $10 b in damages, leaders & Congress are paying attention #intelsummit20 @INSAlliance @AFCEA pic.twitter.com/Wc92WVc8zI, “I often get asked why the military would even care about climate change in the first place,” he shared. Simply put, US national security agencies are architecturally and doctrinally incongruous to the threats in the pipeline from climate change and other emerging—and largely nonmilitary—security threats. This reflects a mature acknowledgment that climate change serves as both a “threat multiplier” and “catalyst for conflict” that requires integration across national security planning. The report recommends "quickly reducing and … Luckily, there are some innovative, sustainable solutions available. While China has reduced its carbon intensity, a measure of emissions per unit of GDP, net carbon emissions have continued to rise. And no security professional would wait until they had 100% certainty before acting to mitigate a threat, It will act as an “Accelerant of Instability” or a “Threat Multiplier” that makes already existing problems worse, America’s infrastructure, food production, transportation network, and American lives are at risk, The U.S. military is working with allies, studying potential threats, ensuring resilience to extreme weather, and preparing to deploy when needed, Rising seas and increased extreme weather will harm readiness and increase costs, To reduce climate risk, the U.S. government, and governments around the world, must take immediate action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The House Intelligence Committee held a hearing on the implications of climate change on national security. Free markets are better, New Horizons Humanitarian Exercise in Guyana, Happy Earth Day from the American Security Project, 58 Senior Military and National Security Leaders Denounce National Security Council’s Climate Panel, Executive Order Would Attack the Consensus on the Security Threats Posed by Climate Change, New Developments in Guyana's Oil Production Along Venezuela's Border, Taliban Targets Civilians as Afghanistan Elections Near, Event Recap: Thinking Cleary About the ‘Infinite Game’: A Look at Great Power Competition Over the Next Administration, Event Recap: Matching Rhetoric to Actions: A Hard Look at U.S. Soft Power in a Biden Administration, The Rise of Great Power Influence in Africa, Perspective – Diplomacy in the 21st Century Middle East, Why the U.S. and Russia Should Make Arctic Cooperation a Priority, Statement from General John Kelly, USMC (ret. Anna speaks to Neil Morisetti about the threats posed by climate change, before Ben asks Patricia Lewis how militaries and international organisations are adapting to these threats. Climate change is a pressing risk to national and global security. Topic: Climate Change and National Security For centuries the United States Military has addressed the many challenges of national security, from fighting for the foundation of America in the Revolutionary war, to the containment of terrorism and Islamic extremism in recent years, but now global climate change presents a new and very different type of challenge to national security. (April 8, 2019). Fact Sheet – Will China's Future be Cleaner? On the domestic front, the U.S. military increasingly has had to confront substantial direct impacts from climate change, Conger continued. The human security framework helps international, national and local actors to better coordinate responses to climate change. As President Bush noted in his 2007 State of the Union speech, dependence on foreign oil leaves us more vulnerable to hos-tile regimes and terrorists, and clean domestic energy alternatives help us confront the serious challenge of global climate change. climate change is inevitable, strategies that go beyond long-run efforts to rein in greenhouse gas emissions are required. Global Warming Makes Solving the 21st Century’s Problems Much Harder, Bay of Bengal – A Hotspot for Climate Insecurity, Climate Change: The Missing Link in Tackling the Mali Crisis, A Clear and Present Danger: The Security Council and Climate Change, Climate Security Report: Climate Change & Global Security, Climate Change, The Arab Spring and Food Prices, Climate Change and Food insecurity Threatens Stability in Developing Countries, Climate Security Report: Climate Change & the Homeland, Resilience in the Face of Rising Seas: Regional Approaches to Sea Level Rise, ASP & Lloyd’s Risk Forum: Pathways to City Resilience, Protecting the Homeland – The Rising Costs of Inaction on Climate Change, Climate Change’s Threats to the United States – Lessons from the Netherlands, Pay Now, Pay Later: A State-by-State Assessment of the Costs of Climate Change, National Defense Strategy: Climate Change in the Age of Great Power Competition, Congress and President Affirm Climate Change Threatens Security – Asks for Military to Prepare, The Global Security Defense Index on Climate Change, Hagel Announces Climate Change Adaptation Roadmap, QDR – The National Security Challenge of Climate Change, The Arctic – Five Critical Security Challenges, Military Engagement on Climate Strengthens Ties in Asia. The twin global emergencies of COVID-19 and climate change are forcing the U.S. foreign policy establishment to reassess its traditional conceptions of national security. Stavridis says global climate change, which is causing the polar cap melt, has an especially “pernicious” effect on national security because it is hard to see and often occurs over time. Wim van 't Einde via Unsplash. Climate change's anticipated impacts such as sea level rise and forced migration can have multiplier effects, accelerating traditional security threats. SUBJECT: Climate Change and National Security. It’s no secret that the Trump Administration has treated the climate crisis like a back-burner issue. Titley; Sherri Goodman of the Wilson Center's Environmental Change and Security Program and Polar Institute, and former deputy undersecretary of defense, environmental security; John Conger, director, The Center for Climate and Security; Erin Sikorsky, deputy director, Strategic Futures Group, National Intelligence Council (NIC); and moderator Greg Treverton, professor, practice of international relations and spatial sciences, University of Southern California, discussed the risks of climate change to national security during a panel session of the 2020 Intelligence and National Security Summit. Climate change will affect access to water, food, and energy — each of which is linked to conflict risk and national security through different channels — as well as patterns and prevalence of infectious disease, the frequency and scale of humanitarian crises, and human migration patterns. States National Security October 2003 By Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall Imagining the Unthinkable The purpose of this report is to imagine the unthinkable – to push the boundaries of current research on climate change so we may better understand the potential implications on United States national security. There is a plan to ultimately build six new icebreakers and three medium vessels in the next five plus years, but we are still in a gap.”, Sherri Goodman @CntrClimSec & former DUSD for Environmental Security: Environmental degradation and security implications of climate change are now a higher priority in intel community and DOD, as leaders know no region of the world is immune #intelsummit20 @INSAlliance @AFCEA pic.twitter.com/PH76Qn5Pek. The 2014 Quadrennial Defense Review labeled climate change as a "threat multiplier," meaning the stressors already present around the world ("poverty, environmental degradation, political instability, and social tensions") will likely be amplified and worsened by the introduction of climate impacts. Read More, Posted by Andrew HollandNov 24, 2020 | Read More, Posted by Adam VanGorderJan 19, 2021 | Read More, Posted by Patrick HinesJan 13, 2021 | Read More, Posted by Andrew HollandJun 24, 2020 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectJan 02, 2020 | Read More, Posted by Andrew HollandDec 11, 2019 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectNov 04, 2019 | Read More, Posted by Andrew HollandJul 12, 2019 | Read More, Posted by Andrew HollandMay 23, 2019 | Read More, Posted by Andrew HollandApr 22, 2019 | Read More, Posted by Andrew HollandMar 05, 2019 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectFeb 21, 2019 | Read More, Posted by Andrew HollandDec 11, 2018 | Read More, Posted by Connor WagnerOct 15, 2018 | Read More, Posted by Katherine SeeversJan 19, 2021 | Read More, Posted by Rylee BoydJan 19, 2021 | Read More, Posted by Claire BrennerJan 19, 2021 | Read More, Posted by Rylee BoydJan 12, 2021 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectJan 07, 2021 | Read More, Posted by Annie AlemanDec 23, 2020 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectDec 22, 2020 | Read More, Posted by Alicia OrrDec 18, 2020 | Read More, Posted by Patrick HinesDec 18, 2020 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectOct 13, 2020 | Read More, Posted by Matthew WallinSep 29, 2020 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectSep 21, 2020 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectSep 01, 2020 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectAug 26, 2020 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectAug 19, 2020 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectJun 17, 2020 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectJun 03, 2020 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectApr 14, 2020 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectMar 19, 2020 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectDec 06, 2019 | Read More, Posted by John MadeiraSep 11, 2020 | Read More, Posted by Matthew WallinFeb 28, 2020 | Read More, Posted by Alexandra HackbarthSep 27, 2019 | Read More, Posted by Andrew HollandSep 17, 2019 | Read More, Posted by Matthew WallinFeb 28, 2019 | Read More, Posted by Andrew HollandDec 19, 2018 | Read More. Try Leading on Climate Change, The Paris Agreement is Compatible with President Trump’s Policies, Chuck Hagel: Climate Change Is a National Security Problem, Global Military Leaders Call for Action on Climate along with COP 21, ASP Commends EPA Clean Power Plan Rules in Public Comments, Fuel Economy Increase Will Help National Security, discussed the threats of climate change with audiences, Resource Resiliency and National Security in a Changing Environment: Arizona, November 2017, Alaska: The Frontlines of National Security and Climate Change, Emerging Global Threats: Effects of Climate Change on US Military Operations at Home and Abroad, North Carolina, August 2017, Capitol Hill Briefing on Climate Change and the Risks to National Security, April 2017, Climate Change and National Security in Nevada, April 2017, Climate Change and Security in the Heartland, Colorado, September 2015, Climate Change Threatens Security in Louisiana, March 2015, Climate Change and Security in Tennessee, April 2014, Pay Now, Pay Later: the Costs of Climate Change, Sanctions on Nord Stream 2? Leaders need to be aware of how climate change is affecting the United States and other nations, how countries will handle the impacts, and how that might change the geopolitics and power balance across the world. In addition, incoming National Security Advisor, Jake Sullivan, and Director of National Intelligence, Avril Haines, have previously highlighted the complex challenges posed by climate change in their statements and … This mismatch has been brutally illustrated by the COVID-19 pandemic. Reviews "Climate Change and National Security is a must-read for undergraduates, graduate students, and research professionals alike. The report stated, "Climate change and energy are two key issues that will play a significant role in shaping the future security environment," noting that "climate change, energy security, and economic stability are inextricably linked." The report’s findings on the direct impacts of climate change on our national security is all about risks to the critical, hard infrastructure that helps sustain our national strength, and the military personnel who support it. This book provides a careful guide to how climate change will affect specific countries and geographical regions. Read More, Perspective – Climate Change and Migration in Central America’s Northern Triangle, Migrants from the Northern Triangle, are fleeing local instability and violence, poverty, and drought. Climate Science is Clear: the Earth is Warming Scientists agree that humans are causing climate change. Where are they exerting influence over food supplying nations in Africa? Climate change is a pressing risk to national and global security. By Dr. Marc Kodack. Read More, ARC31: Putting Gender & Climate on the Regional Agenda, ARC31 focused on COVID-19 and climate change and the extent to which they contribute to human insecurity and conflict in Africa. These views were reflected in President Obama"™s first comprehensive National Security Strategy released in 2010. Climate change as a national security issue In her response, Malini Mehra states that the continued framing of climate change as an environmental issue is a contributing reason for it getting short shrift in terms of policy attention. “And what’s going to be the most strategic, I think, are places like Dutch Harbor, Deep Water Point, which is near the existing Trans-Pacific shipping routes. American Competitiveness & Economic Diplomacy, IPCC Report Shows Climate Change Risk is Real and Urgent, The Scientific Consensus for Man-Made Climate Change, Major News Outlets Report on Link between Extreme Weather and Climate Change, Linking Climate Change and Conflict – New Report Stirs Old Debate, Op-Ed: Climate Change Threatens America’s National Security, Climate change, the rise of ISIS, and What “Causes” Terrorism, Climate Change Threatens South Asian Stability, Peace, Stability, and Climate Security Across the Pacific, National Security, Climate, and the Philippine Typhoon. And so, we in the intelligence community need to understand and think about that.”. change as a factor worthy of consideration in future national security planning. For example, because of climate change, the Arctic has melting and thinning ice. As climate change deepens poverty and food insecurity, the United States will continue to see a rise in the number of people seeking asylum. Two of the conference’s reports demonstrate that climate change, food insecurity, and gender inequality are hindering Africa’s development. Read More. Exploring The Security Risks of Climate Change. “We have an icebreaker gap, and not only that, but one of our two aging icebreakers had a fire onboard this summer, so the annual mission was cut short. However, none of these resolutions has garnered enough support in either chamber to gain passage, despite the … Naval Forces (Washington: National Academies Press, 2011), pp. Climate security is a concept that summons the idea that climate-related change amplifies existing risks in society that endangers the security of humans, ecosystems, economy, infrastructure and societies. It argues for national security strategies to take a much clearer, preventive line in addressing the catastrophic risk posed by climate disruption. Read More, As Climate Envoy, John Kerry will lead Climate Action from the National Security Council, ASP Board Member John Kerry will join the Biden Administration as Climate Envoy on the National Security Council. Climate change has emerged as a security challenge that knows no borders. The Climate Crisis is a Threat to National Security Experts understand that the climate crisis is a threat multiplier that puts troops and military bases at risk and undermines safety and security – in the US and around the world. While there are many national security challenges facing the nation and the world, climate change is an aptly described “ super wicked ” problem that exacerbates and accelerates already existing threats. Climate change is transforming the way we think about security. “And as we've seen with the pandemic, it's not always material power that matters, but the tangible and intangible things related to adaptability, flexibility, the ability to absorb shocks, and it's those intangibles like trust, societal cohesion and history that I think will make all the difference for understanding which countries are better positioned to manage climate risks going forward. Titley also recommended that U.S. leaders also consider less costly “ice capable” vessels—like Finland has done. The report recommends "quickly reducing and phasing out greenhouse gas emissions." Climate-related security risks have far-reaching implications for the way the world manages peace and security. And our icebreakers have to serve Antarctica as well as the Arctic because they provide assistance to the Antarctic science mission. And no security professional would wait until they had 100% certainty before acting to mitigate a threat. Everything you need to know about climate change and how it threatens national security: Scientists agree that humans are causing climate change. Read More, Building Caribbean Resilience with Fossil Fuel Revenues, The Caribbean is being hammered by extreme weather. For the intelligence community, strategic analysis of shifting routes, travel and operations in the Arctic Sea region is necessary, said David Titley, professor, International Affairs and professor, Practice, Department of Meteorology, and director, Center for Solutions to Weather and Climate Risk, Pennsylvania State University. America’s Role in the Arctic: Opportunity and Security in the High North, Interactive Map: The Vulnerability of America’s Military Bases to Climate Change, North Korea Threatens Guam Today; Climate Change Threatens it in the Long Term, British Military Bases at Risk to Extreme Climate, ASP in Stars & Stripes: Strategic bases vulnerable to climate change, How the Clean Power Plan Reduced Risk and Built Resiliency, EPA Methane Rules Can Quickly Reduce Emissions, ASP Statement Against Pull Out from Paris Agreement, Want America to Remain Exceptional? (November 12, 2018) Climate change heightens national security threats for states, and in particular, changes the calculus for the world’s superpower, the United States. When evaluating risks of climate change to national security, intelligence analysts should leverage the expertise across the U.S. government as well as accurately measure how countries manage climate risk, Sikorsky advised. It is also manifestly unjust. DOD's six … © AFCEA International, 4114 Legato Rd Ste 1000, Fairfax, Virginia, 22033. All rights reserved. Joshua W. Busby Associate Professor of Public Affairs, University of Texas-Austin Ten Key Facts on Climate Change All rights reserved. “Very rarely is a climate issue the sole driver behind a security threat,” she offered. By the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and the laws of the United States of America, I hereby direct the following: Section 1. Why are they exerting influence over the fish supplies in the South China Sea? Perspective – Beijing's Quandary: Clean or Dirty Growth? Framing Climate Change as a “National Security Priority” Isn’t a Clever Maneuver to Get People to Care — It’s a Centrist Co-option Strategy to Bloat the Budgets of ICE and the Pentagon The goal was to review current climate science, discuss the potential impacts of climate change on national security, detail what actions to mitigate these impacts are underway, and brainstorm about research and policies that are needed to address the challenge. Lines and paragraphs break automatically. October 25, 2018 July 17, 2019. “We are absolutely under-capitalized in icebreakers,” she said. “It is because it affects your mission today, that is your installations, your readiness and that is today's operations. Climate change and the damage it inflicts have profound implications to national security, experts say. Climate change is set to challenge all systems on which global security, peace, and stability depend. Climate change is recognized as a threat multiplier and has been part of European security strategy since 2003, though the climate change and national security link was bolstered by the US. As President Bush noted in his 2007 State of the Union speech, dependence on foreign oil leaves us more vulnerable to hos-tile regimes and terrorists, and clean domestic Everything you need to know about climate change and how it threatens national security: 1. Since at least 2005, there have been numerous congressional resolutions that have either acknowledged the threat, expressed a commitment to addressing it, or proposed solutions. Introduction. Purpose. And that involves not only the U.S. Coast Guard but also the Navy's ability to operate. Retired Navy rear admiral calls extreme weather a national security threat. This concern is the conclusion of 11 retired flag officers in a new report from the CNA Corporation, National Security and the Threat of Climate Change. 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